vadret
0xe6d02edcc44621c4a89dbfa5c40b044e14015b15
- Realised P&L
- $16.05
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $838.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.32at 0.770Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$41.33at 0.879Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$23.54at 0.303Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$22.17at 0.755US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
- +$13.77at 0.529Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 21:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999535 | $3.47 |
| 09-23 21:15 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299999977 | $31.61 |
| 09-23 21:07 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.44 |
| 09-23 20:48 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.32 |
| 09-23 20:38 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.16 |
| 09-23 20:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999408 | $3.14 |
| 09-23 20:18 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.25 |
| 09-23 19:34 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.54 |
| 09-23 19:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999406 | $3.55 |
| 09-23 18:11 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.92 |
| 09-23 17:57 | CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by October 31? | BUY | 0.9539999232 | $6.68 |
| 09-23 17:26 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.32 |
| 09-23 17:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.617999955 | $4.20 |
| 09-23 16:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999691 | $3.21 |
| 09-22 18:42 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9029127156 | $12.74 |