Elon3313
0xe6cfb40eb371e780d9648b905475d906157304fe
- Realised P&L
- $-0.46
- Volume
- $232.99
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $0.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$5.80 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$1.45 |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.07 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.74 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.38at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 12:46 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.50 |
| 10-17 14:12 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.059 | $0.83 |
| 10-06 16:32 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.80 |
| 10-06 16:31 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.189 | $1.13 |
| 09-30 17:41 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.56 |
| 09-28 17:10 | Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 09-26 13:37 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.74 |