yunfatm
0xe68df510dbf9a0aca34c3ab7b9e50b4d3df6f5b2
- Realised P&L
- $490.45
- Volume
- $49.5k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $8.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.018 | $5.30 | −$16.70 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.013 | $1.83 | −$5.17 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.019 | $0.60 | −$3.40 |
| New pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.017 | $0.24 | −$1.76 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.019 | $0.20 | −$0.81 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.438 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$818.73at 0.690Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?
- +$375.31at 0.336Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
- +$330.84at 0.051Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
- +$317.35at 0.170Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
- +$235.46at 0.154Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 09:44 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.4377011442 | $28.00 |
| 10-15 15:05 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2878221858 | $9.00 |
| 10-15 15:04 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.1761973347 | $10.31 |
| 10-15 12:16 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3228261693 | $13.00 |
| 10-15 12:15 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2049999978 | $12.00 |
| 10-14 05:31 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7889999876 | $21.00 |
| 10-12 01:36 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3639999971 | $6.50 |
| 10-12 01:36 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.089 | $6.05 |
| 10-11 22:07 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1126126895 | $7.65 |
| 10-11 22:07 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3409999936 | $8.00 |
| 10-11 22:05 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $18.60 |
| 10-10 23:35 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 13:33 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 13:33 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.4445489628 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 14:42 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $5.00 |