667766
0xe6490ac0fde973fa67c32a0169d7cb6f4610304d
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $50.6k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $19.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.877 | 0.954 | $5.2k | +$420.85 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.585 | $5.1k | −$2.9k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.961 | 0.961 | $5.0k | −$2.60 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.763 | 0.720 | $1.9k | −$112.39 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.520 | $1.4k | −$892.94 |
| Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in September? · No | 0.943 | 0.845 | $1.3k | −$149.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.63at 0.932Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?
- +$59.14at 0.988NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$10.72at 0.991Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
- +$5.33at 0.868NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$-39.22at 0.772NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 21:38 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.926 | $185.20 |
| 09-01 11:07 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $0.16 |
| 09-01 11:07 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $0.30 |
| 09-01 11:06 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7569394981 | $2.0k |
| 09-01 11:04 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8699175705 | $2.0k |
| 08-30 08:45 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | SELL | 0.89505005 | $1.8k |
| 08-29 21:55 | Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in September? | BUY | 0.9426998371 | $1.4k |
| 08-29 21:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7628693079 | $2.0k |
| 08-29 21:04 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.877 | $5.0k |
| 08-29 21:00 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.9609999999 | $5.0k |
| 08-29 20:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7720799648 | $2.0k |
| 08-29 20:58 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8676066202 | $2.0k |
| 08-29 20:58 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.0k |
| 08-29 20:56 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9883118345 | $5.0k |
| 08-29 20:46 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9196172323 | $8.0k |