PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

667766

0xe6490ac0fde973fa67c32a0169d7cb6f4610304d

Realised P&L
$-5.3k
Volume
$50.6k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$19.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8770.954$5.2k+$420.85
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.9200.585$5.1k$2.9k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9610.961$5.0k$2.60
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7630.720$1.9k$112.39
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? · Yes0.8500.520$1.4k$892.94
Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in September? · No0.9430.845$1.3k$149.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 21:38Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.926$185.20
09-01 11:07NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.86$0.16
09-01 11:07NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$0.30
09-01 11:06NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7569394981$2.0k
09-01 11:04NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.8699175705$2.0k
08-30 08:45Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?SELL0.89505005$1.8k
08-29 21:55Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in September?BUY0.9426998371$1.4k
08-29 21:06Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7628693079$2.0k
08-29 21:04Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.877$5.0k
08-29 21:00Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.9609999999$5.0k
08-29 20:59NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7720799648$2.0k
08-29 20:58NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8676066202$2.0k
08-29 20:58Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?BUY0.85$4.0k
08-29 20:56NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9883118345$5.0k
08-29 20:46Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.9196172323$8.0k