zjavax2
0xe5c47cd9a52960df9730a05ed9a9b3959ab02231
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $24.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.855 | 0.940 | $1.0k | +$94.44 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.601 | 0.548 | $772.85 | −$73.27 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.715 | $577.62 | −$52.38 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.945 | $269.67 | +$6.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$661.66at 0.821Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$234.91at 0.732Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$229.98at 0.924Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$40.73at 0.942Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$28.10at 0.751Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:04 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $455.00 |
| 09-16 17:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8599999999 | $427.34 |
| 09-16 17:30 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.8648 | $432.40 |
| 09-16 03:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.0k |
| 09-16 03:05 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.9548368534 | $1.0k |
| 09-14 16:54 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999997 | $531.80 |
| 09-14 16:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8499999994 | $1000.00 |
| 09-14 16:52 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.9199408289 | $2.8k |
| 09-14 10:00 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999995 | $236.13 |
| 09-14 09:59 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.8344822319 | $239.29 |
| 09-11 06:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6199999996 | $445.32 |
| 09-10 20:21 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $493.00 |
| 09-10 20:20 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 15:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9589999999 | $275.00 |
| 09-10 14:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.63 | $343.63 |