Big-Hearted-Shaker
0xe5c20ffb947f3e12b43e8d472105d9fbf5772b81
- Realised P&L
- $703.94
- Volume
- $54.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,139
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,139
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$928.48at 0.101Will SPOLU get between 23% and 26% of the vote in the Czech election?
- +$133.47at 0.510Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5
- +$81.83at 0.713Will Vladimir Semirunniy (POL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
- +$77.37at 0.771Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
- +$62.34at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:09 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes record 90+ points? | BUY | 0.9 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 17:51 | Will Mikko Rantanen record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.699999916 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 17:50 | Will Martin Necas record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 17:49 | Will Auston Matthews record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.6799999238 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 19:15 | Will Kirill Kaprizov record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.9379999841 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 15:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-31 15:45 | Will the Vegas Golden Knights record 110+ points? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 10-31 15:44 | Will the Vancouver Canucks record 80+ points? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 10-31 15:43 | Will the Chicago Blackhawks record 80+ points? | BUY | 0.68 | $10.20 |
| 10-31 15:42 | Will the Anaheim Ducks record 100+ points? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 10-31 15:41 | Will the Philadelphia Flyers record 100+ points? | BUY | 0.955 | $9.54 |
| 10-31 15:40 | Will the Chicago Blackhawks record 90+ points? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 10-31 15:19 | Will Mark Scheifele record 100+ points? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 10-31 15:03 | Will Auston Matthews record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.25 |
| 10-30 09:55 | Will Macklin Celebrini record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |