PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Mohel

0xe5c20ffb947f3e12b43e8d472105d9fbf5772b81

Realised P&L
$730.06
Volume
$49.6k
Markets traded
998
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded998
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9420.934$84.06$0.72
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9210.927$76.47+$0.54
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8830.915$54.90+$1.90
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · No0.8500.925$45.80+$3.71
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8920.915$40.00+$1.00
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.8770.945$35.98+$2.58
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.9090.969$34.58+$2.14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8780.945$34.54+$2.45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9630.965$31.83+$0.05
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No0.8300.870$31.45+$1.45
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · No0.9180.908$30.09$0.32
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · No0.9170.945$29.58+$0.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.935$28.05+$0.75
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9000.925$27.75+$0.75
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · No0.9300.925$27.75$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 16:42Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 1?BUY0.994$89.46
07-29 06:52Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 29?BUY0.998$99.80
07-29 06:39Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C or below on July 30?BUY0.999$49.95
07-29 06:38Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 29?BUY0.999$59.94
07-29 06:32Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 29?BUY0.999$99.90
07-29 06:27Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.934$14.12
07-29 06:27Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.987$19.74
07-28 13:09Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?BUY0.997$19.94
07-28 11:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?BUY0.996$9.96
07-28 11:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?BUY0.995$29.85
07-28 04:25Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 28?BUY0.999$49.95
07-27 20:05Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on July 28?BUY0.999$69.93
07-27 13:00Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on July 27?BUY0.999$96.82
07-26 20:41Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 27?BUY0.999$39.96
07-26 20:39Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 27?BUY0.999$79.31