0xe589Bb84e99E84eDBf445b964A67ED13Ee48E388-1773215459689
0xe589bb84e99e84edbf445b964a67ed13ee48e388
- Realised P&L
- $27.30
- Volume
- $462.80
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $64.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.57at 0.748Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$4.64at 0.920Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
- +$3.63at 0.932Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:27 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $8.46 |
| 09-25 08:25 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.34 | $10.20 |
| 09-25 08:24 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.20 |
| 09-25 08:22 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 09-25 08:21 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.34 | $10.20 |
| 09-25 08:21 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 09-24 19:56 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.035 | $0.35 |
| 09-24 19:53 | Will Marc-Antoine Bernier win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.29 | $10.15 |
| 09-24 19:52 | Will Randy Legault-Rankin win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 19:51 | Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-13 11:40 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7479999917 | $58.09 |
| 04-09 02:55 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | BUY | 0.92 | $53.36 |