PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

TheArtOfTACO

0xe54fac49d0fa4a47517d5a190554c3d6fcac94f0

Realised P&L
$20.6k
Volume
$619.2k
Markets traded
248
Open portfolio
$40.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded248
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9210.945$26.0k+$667.67
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8610.955$3.8k+$377.72
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5940.645$2.6k+$205.82
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8530.981$1.5k+$191.57
Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.9750.996$1.5k+$29.71
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · No0.6750.649$1.1k−$45.01
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9370.986$985.50+$48.50
Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.9781.000$920.99+$20.23
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9620.988$493.75+$12.75
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8340.971$485.50+$68.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8070.825$412.50+$8.75
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.6510.695$347.41+$21.86
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.4290.435$217.50+$3.00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.0370.034$167.50−$17.50
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · No0.8000.805$161.00+$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 18:41Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.00140177$1.40
10-30 18:37Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.037$185.00
10-28 21:55Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.986$10.85
10-28 21:53Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.984$98.40
10-28 21:53Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.984$196.80
10-28 21:19Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.976$220.14
10-28 21:12Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.973980873$198.59
10-28 18:02Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.998$2.99
10-28 16:13Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?BUY0.77$115.50
10-28 16:06Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?BUY0.77$77.00
10-27 23:12Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.777$11.69
10-27 22:40Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.61$305.00
10-27 10:54Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.002$6.00
10-27 10:47Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.72$360.00
10-27 10:46Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.72$144.00