TheArtOfTACO
0xe54fac49d0fa4a47517d5a190554c3d6fcac94f0
- Realised P&L
- $20.6k
- Volume
- $619.2k
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $40.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.897Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$2.7kat 0.770Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$1.3kat 0.835Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.3kat 0.986Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$948.27at 0.897Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 18:41 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.00140177 | $1.40 |
| 10-30 18:37 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $185.00 |
| 10-28 21:55 | Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.986 | $10.85 |
| 10-28 21:53 | Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.984 | $98.40 |
| 10-28 21:53 | Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.984 | $196.80 |
| 10-28 21:19 | Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.976 | $220.14 |
| 10-28 21:12 | Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.973980873 | $198.59 |
| 10-28 18:02 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.99 |
| 10-28 16:13 | Will no one dissent the October Fed decision? | BUY | 0.77 | $115.50 |
| 10-28 16:06 | Will no one dissent the October Fed decision? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 10-27 23:12 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.777 | $11.69 |
| 10-27 22:40 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.61 | $305.00 |
| 10-27 10:54 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.002 | $6.00 |
| 10-27 10:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.72 | $360.00 |
| 10-27 10:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.72 | $144.00 |