0xE508cDB6d56178fC9028A497A441F0B878b76535-1777768932543
0xe508cdb6d56178fc9028a497a441f0b878b76535
- Realised P&L
- $3.72
- Volume
- $109.71
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $68.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.45at 0.675Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.43at 0.701Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- +$0.23at 0.818Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 23:41 | Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2026 AFC North? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 05-22 23:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.9799999569 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 23:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8599998762 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 23:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9199999043 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 01:56 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.8799995072 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 01:53 | Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 01:41 | James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 01:36 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9819999863 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 01:36 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9269999509 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 01:19 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 01:19 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.879999831 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 01:19 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 01:17 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 01:15 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.6639999979 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 01:14 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |