ogjqrhvk9rj6
0xe4cb0ca3e3ec7a49f279c39e2cb84d5e6f955276
- Realised P&L
- $-669.86
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $213.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.60at 0.411Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes
- +$48.75at 0.512Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox
- +$21.24at 0.335US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
- +$16.83at 0.502San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
- +$16.80at 0.482Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 12:08 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31? | BUY | 0.6999999358 | $1.09 |
| 10-05 20:29 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | BUY | 0.9869999975 | $1.20 |
| 10-05 20:29 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | BUY | 0.9879999981 | $2.13 |
| 10-05 20:29 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | BUY | 0.9869999985 | $2.56 |
| 10-05 20:29 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | BUY | 0.9869999985 | $2.56 |
| 10-05 20:29 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | BUY | 0.9869999975 | $2.77 |
| 10-04 07:14 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18? | BUY | 0.8599998692 | $2.63 |
| 10-04 07:14 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18? | BUY | 0.8599997236 | $2.24 |
| 10-04 07:14 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18? | BUY | 0.8599998692 | $2.63 |
| 10-04 07:14 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18? | BUY | 0.8599998743 | $2.19 |
| 10-01 03:46 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.62 |
| 10-01 03:31 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999959 | $1.26 |
| 10-01 03:29 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.52 |
| 10-01 02:37 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999721 | $2.19 |
| 09-30 15:25 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.6619998245 | $2.15 |