PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xe4893d5422c1f3c2a46df9989399239c59bcf816

Realised P&L
$-70.95
Volume
$11.2k
Markets traded
828
Open portfolio
$176.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded828
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Khokh Chochiev win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections? · No0.9990.998$17.03$0.02
Will Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea win the Falealili 1 by-election? · No0.9990.998$17.02$0.03
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections? · Yes0.9980.994$16.98$0.07
Will National Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9991.000$14.07+$0.01
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$13.66$0.20
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$13.65$0.21
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$13.65$0.21
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$13.51$0.35
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? · No0.9600.951$13.42$0.13
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.963$13.36$0.50
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.959$13.30$0.56
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.890$12.35$1.51
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9970.293$4.08$9.78
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4PM ET · Down0.9300.000$0.00$15.15
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor? · Yes0.9990.000$0.00$11.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 07:57XRP Up or Down - September 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.999$16.21
09-18 23:58Will Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea win the Falealili 1 by-election?BUY0.999$17.05
09-18 23:57Will Khokh Chochiev win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?BUY0.999$17.05
09-18 23:56Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?BUY0.9979999613$17.05
09-18 07:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3AM ETBUY0.996$16.94
09-18 06:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 2AM ETBUY0.9699999989$16.92
09-18 05:57Solana Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ETBUY0.99$16.91
09-18 01:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ETBUY0.99$16.89
09-18 00:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8PM ETBUY0.998$16.89
09-17 23:57Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.9969999999$16.90
09-17 22:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ETBUY0.9989999951$16.90
09-17 22:00WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on September 17?BUY0.999$16.90
09-17 10:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 6AM ETBUY0.998$16.90
09-17 10:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6AM ETBUY0.9989999951$16.90
09-17 05:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1AM ETBUY0.999$16.90