PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe484d3b71dde2ac09bae3bd73ea9af536cc3e2a8

0xe484d3b71dde2ac09bae3bd73ea9af536cc3e2a8

Realised P&L
$-3.20
Volume
$253.64
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$5.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.935$2.86+$1.33
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? · No0.3400.380$1.12+$0.12
Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth 2.5% to 3.5%? · Yes0.3300.295$0.89−$0.11
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25? · Yes0.3700.310$0.84−$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 02:58Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth 2.5% to 3.5%?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-20 18:57Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-18 22:57United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-18 14:56Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.2789999526$1.00
10-18 06:55Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.7959999331$1.00
10-17 21:52Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-15 10:33Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-15 02:31Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-14 18:29Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?BUY0.64$1.00
10-11 22:19Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-11 14:17Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-07 15:49Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-07 07:45Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-06 23:45Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-02 06:19Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00