PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

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Traders

0xe484d3b71dde2ac09bae3bd73ea9af536cc3e2a8

Realised P&L
$0.32
Volume
$102.73
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$16.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.2200.600$5.45+$3.45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.6701.000$2.98+$0.98
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.6100.765$2.51+$0.51
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? · No0.7700.825$2.14+$0.14
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.8000.705$1.76$0.24
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.465$1.42$0.11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No0.3100.002$0.01$1.99
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.6300.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 00:40Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
08-03 16:38Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-03 08:37US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.6099999786$2.00
08-02 23:59Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6299999181$2.00
08-02 15:59Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.7699997035$2.00
08-02 06:51Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-01 22:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.3099999364$2.00
08-01 14:41Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6699999196$2.00
08-01 02:25New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 18:23Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 10:23Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.36$1.08
07-30 12:51Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6099999377$1.86
07-30 04:23Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6499999508$1.98
07-29 16:59Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?BUY0.6599998949$2.01
07-28 19:29Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.5499999298$1.96