PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

nicoeg

0xe47b9fa7175eed682751d77eae41b22910f3a899

Realised P&L
$-288.76
Volume
$9.0k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$419.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.971$68.83+$19.18
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · No0.5900.775$65.68+$15.68
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7200.855$59.79+$9.44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.969$55.34+$5.06
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No0.9000.974$54.09+$4.08
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · No0.8600.910$53.22+$2.92
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · No0.8000.875$27.18+$2.33
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.1000.190$18.00+$8.53
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7600.890$17.68+$2.58
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1930.000$0.00−$0.99
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$50.39
Türkiye vs. United States: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$24.67
National Bank Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Anastasia Potapova · Gabriela Ruse0.1160.000$0.00−$2.47
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5? · No0.3600.000$0.00−$49.32
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$24.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 16:11Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.2225188135$375.53
09-27 18:22Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.3599999997$184.79
09-27 18:16Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.3406241497$400.00
09-02 20:33Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.7311800802$30.98
08-28 15:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.5$36.49
08-22 03:18Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.59$13.59
08-12 13:06NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?BUY0.86$50.29
08-12 09:20Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.4049549647$37.32
08-04 21:13Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)SELL0.73$3.65
08-04 21:13National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey RublevSELL0.46$3.10
08-04 21:13ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Francesca MattioliSELL0.5$4.38
08-04 21:12Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-04?SELL0.6$5.35
08-04 21:12New York Mets vs. Cleveland GuardiansSELL0.43$4.24
08-04 21:12National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin MoutetSELL0.7$13.84
08-04 21:12Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)SELL0.22$5.18