nicoeg
0xe47b9fa7175eed682751d77eae41b22910f3a899
- Realised P&L
- $-288.76
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $419.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.60at 0.520Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?
- +$40.26at 0.380Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$35.90at 0.580Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?
- +$32.58at 0.266Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$31.46at 0.130Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 16:11 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.2225188135 | $375.53 |
| 09-27 18:22 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $184.79 |
| 09-27 18:16 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3406241497 | $400.00 |
| 09-02 20:33 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.7311800802 | $30.98 |
| 08-28 15:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $36.49 |
| 08-22 03:18 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $13.59 |
| 08-12 13:06 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $50.29 |
| 08-12 09:20 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.4049549647 | $37.32 |
| 08-04 21:13 | Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) | SELL | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-04 21:13 | National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublev | SELL | 0.46 | $3.10 |
| 08-04 21:13 | ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Francesca Mattioli | SELL | 0.5 | $4.38 |
| 08-04 21:12 | Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-04? | SELL | 0.6 | $5.35 |
| 08-04 21:12 | New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians | SELL | 0.43 | $4.24 |
| 08-04 21:12 | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet | SELL | 0.7 | $13.84 |
| 08-04 21:12 | Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) | SELL | 0.22 | $5.18 |