ItamarBleinad
0xe424b5e3ce3f27609e5a162c2ad61018316c0d1a
- Realised P&L
- $-13.4k
- Volume
- $149.7k
- Markets traded
- 655
- Open portfolio
- $923.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded655
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.624Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?
- +$366.10at 0.739Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?
- +$196.46at 0.847Bolsonaro guilty?
- +$196.10at 0.671Faithless elector in US election?
- +$164.17at 0.863Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 22:57 | Will Jaques Wagner be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 22:56 | Will Simone Tebet be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance? | BUY | 0.92 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 22:55 | Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance? | BUY | 0.4351353332 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 22:54 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 22:54 | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 22:53 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 22:53 | Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999976 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 22:52 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 22:52 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 22:51 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 13:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 13:10 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.6252481141 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 13:08 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.709999992 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 02:50 | Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election? | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $50.00 |