slyfox11
0xe4183e1a9e9456fb9af379abff61e18d3207eaab
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $222.6k
- Markets traded
- 234
- Open portfolio
- $203.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded234
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$452.42at 0.742Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?
- +$424.89at 0.920Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 25?
- +$251.47at 0.837Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 24?
- +$249.23at 0.949Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?
- +$248.10at 0.905Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 15:42 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 10-13 18:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 10-07 17:27 | Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.898 | $26.94 |
| 10-05 19:26 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting? | SELL | 0.61 | $23.06 |
| 10-05 18:18 | Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.41 | $15.25 |
| 10-05 14:26 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.77 | $29.26 |
| 10-05 11:02 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.32 | $11.42 |
| 10-05 11:01 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.94 | $36.94 |
| 10-05 10:59 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.46 | $16.97 |
| 10-05 03:39 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 10-05 03:21 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-19 House election by 21% or more? | BUY | 0.83 | $23.24 |
| 10-04 17:24 | Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.41 |
| 10-04 16:25 | Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.56 |
| 10-04 16:23 | Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.55 |
| 10-04 14:47 | Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.45 | $18.00 |