0xe31b69A0d64C2483654CaE73F15C98836b6F5f28-1769024771862
0xe31b69a0d64c2483654cae73f15c98836b6f5f28
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $236.7k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $203.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$890.70at 0.183Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$881.21at 0.162US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$234.06at 0.197Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
- +$219.59at 0.325US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$154.43at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 18:15 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SELL | 0.048 | $2.26 |
| 08-22 04:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August? | BUY | 0.1499999997 | $400.00 |
| 08-22 04:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0213845515 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 20:41 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.0125 | $1.13 |
| 07-14 20:40 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.9104308384 | $110.00 |
| 07-14 19:21 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2049999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:21 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.242499984 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:15 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2974999974 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 18:20 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0289999986 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 18:20 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.057208951 | $30.00 |
| 07-09 21:02 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.117499991 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 22:59 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 22:58 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0341698738 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 22:56 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 22:56 | Israel closes its airspace by July 7? | BUY | 0.0220000001 | $5.00 |