PolyBot

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Traders

0xe2bdd38c1077a31d56056ea24b46f482e394eab2

0xe2bdd38c1077a31d56056ea24b46f482e394eab2

Realised P&L
$-611.04
Volume
$28.6k
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$83.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3000.384$38.35+$8.35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24? · Yes0.1700.220$22.00+$5.00
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1400.115$11.50$2.50
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes0.3600.095$11.50$32.14
Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0200.051$0.25+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23? · Yes0.1300.001$0.10$25.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 06:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?BUY0.17$17.00
09-12 11:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$20.00
09-11 02:09Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 11?BUY0.0199004975$5.00
09-04 04:00Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 4?BUY0.35$2.80
09-04 03:25Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.38$7.17
09-01 06:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 2?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
08-31 13:39Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.44$14.47
08-27 04:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?BUY0.06$2.28
08-27 01:19Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?BUY0.1789709172$8.00
08-27 01:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?BUY0.16$2.00
08-21 03:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 21?SELL0.07$7.00
08-21 03:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 21?BUY0.17$0.33
08-21 03:31Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 21?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
08-21 03:31Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 21?BUY0.1674876565$4.00
08-21 03:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 21?BUY0.14$1.12