PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

yikaiz

0xe258c02a1ed5c159f3268cf7728ba5706f8bd084

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$1.32M
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$86.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration76.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8980.865$47.1k$1.8k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7900.835$23.0k+$1.2k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6660.600$11.5k$1.3k
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · No0.7060.745$2.6k+$134.44
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · No0.3620.105$764.19$1.9k
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1170.065$663.92$526.07
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8260.855$274.69+$9.35
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3350.325$66.90$2.10
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · Yes0.3450.059$64.37$315.63
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? · No0.4440.320$28.82$11.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 15:00Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3351864839$69.00
09-11 07:08US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6800845771$5.6k
09-11 07:07Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?SELL0.713217443$5.6k
09-11 07:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6135265994$5.8k
08-08 06:35Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.897608835$48.9k
08-08 06:34US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.8743366886$7.3k
08-08 06:33Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.7402030075$7.7k
08-08 06:33Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.6962892689$1.1k
08-08 06:32Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.647392269$1.4k
08-08 06:32Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.7294662936$10.2k
08-08 06:32Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.7817370485$21.2k
08-04 05:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.79$21.8k
08-04 05:38Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.8507022666$5.0k
08-04 05:36Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.9270047$26.9k
08-04 05:34Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?BUY0.9263030607$5.3k