yikaiz
0xe258c02a1ed5c159f3268cf7728ba5706f8bd084
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $1.34M
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $75.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.898 | 0.905 | $49.3k | +$402.70 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.790 | 0.825 | $22.8k | +$965.85 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.706 | 0.725 | $2.5k | +$65.76 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.036 | $367.71 | −$822.28 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · No | 0.362 | 0.039 | $283.84 | −$2.3k |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · No | 0.826 | 0.865 | $277.91 | +$12.56 |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.335 | 0.175 | $36.02 | −$32.98 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · Yes | 0.345 | 0.023 | $25.31 | −$354.69 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? · No | 0.444 | 0.190 | $17.11 | −$22.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.825Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$617.48at 0.565Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$421.35at 0.926Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
- +$364.70at 0.733Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
- +$342.95at 0.899Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 14:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5544504638 | $7.1k |
| 10-01 14:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5164930292 | $3.1k |
| 10-01 14:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.461 | $211.89 |
| 09-12 15:00 | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3351864839 | $69.00 |
| 09-11 07:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6800845771 | $5.6k |
| 09-11 07:07 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.713217443 | $5.6k |
| 09-11 07:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6135265994 | $5.8k |
| 08-08 06:35 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.897608835 | $48.9k |
| 08-08 06:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8743366886 | $7.3k |
| 08-08 06:33 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.7402030075 | $7.7k |
| 08-08 06:33 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.6962892689 | $1.1k |
| 08-08 06:32 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.647392269 | $1.4k |
| 08-08 06:32 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.7294662936 | $10.2k |
| 08-08 06:32 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.7817370485 | $21.2k |
| 08-04 05:38 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $21.8k |