PolyBot

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Traders

AntonioSoto8053

0xe17a0bfb659a6058bbf39d25d55b4781c2abc6fb

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$246.1k
Markets traded
381
Open portfolio
$519.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded381
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6000.942$422.73+$153.33
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.3800.395$82.95+$3.15
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? · Dune 30.1210.028$9.96$33.85
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0220.954$3.81+$3.73
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.130$0.13+$0.00
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.0390.000$0.00$1.40
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars · Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils0.1900.000$0.00$71.82
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025? · No0.0220.000$0.00$4.60
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.09
Will Ciprian Ciucu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$2.52
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.4700.000$0.00$22.56
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be greater than 2,400,000? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$273.22
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5) · Ipswich Town FC0.1600.000$0.00$62.08
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$3.56
Anthropic IPO in 2025? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$2.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 14:06Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7$45.50
04-23 14:18Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?BUY0.59$484.98
04-23 12:56Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$16.25
03-24 12:16NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?BUY0.73$320.47
03-24 07:03Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.85$39.10
03-24 06:18Remote IPO before 2027?SELL0.36$55.08
03-24 06:17Remote IPO before 2027?SELL0.36$225.00
03-23 17:33Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?BUY0.87$40.02
03-23 16:11Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?BUY0.41$748.66
03-22 16:23Remote IPO before 2027?BUY0.4$311.20
03-18 16:14Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.35$46.20
03-18 16:12Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.35$317.10
03-18 15:06Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.78$514.02
03-16 18:44Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.76$500.84
03-16 15:21Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.53$550.14