AntonioSoto8053
0xe17a0bfb659a6058bbf39d25d55b4781c2abc6fb
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $246.1k
- Markets traded
- 381
- Open portfolio
- $519.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded381
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$445.44at 0.520Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball
- +$209.16at 0.570Will Ryan Seacrest say "Resolution" 3+ times on New Year's Rockin' Eve?
- +$199.95at 0.430Will Jensen Huang say "Alpamayo" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
- +$193.29at 0.390Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
- +$148.12at 0.650Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 14:06 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $45.50 |
| 04-23 14:18 | Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $484.98 |
| 04-23 12:56 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $16.25 |
| 03-24 12:16 | NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals? | BUY | 0.73 | $320.47 |
| 03-24 07:03 | Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.85 | $39.10 |
| 03-24 06:18 | Remote IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.36 | $55.08 |
| 03-24 06:17 | Remote IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.36 | $225.00 |
| 03-23 17:33 | Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.87 | $40.02 |
| 03-23 16:11 | Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $748.66 |
| 03-22 16:23 | Remote IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $311.20 |
| 03-18 16:14 | Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $46.20 |
| 03-18 16:12 | Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $317.10 |
| 03-18 15:06 | Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $514.02 |
| 03-16 18:44 | Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $500.84 |
| 03-16 15:21 | Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $550.14 |