PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vikbara

0xe150d954b16e451e6d287e465ec5d03269d6b65e

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$168.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar34.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nico Estévez win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? · No0.9900.987$49.45−$0.18
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9750.951$47.17−$1.19
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · No0.9670.925$45.51−$2.07
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · No0.9800.866$21.20−$2.78
Tim Walz in jail by December 31? · No0.9720.997$5.24+$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-13 13:21Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.984$20.66
08-19 12:15Ethereum Up or Down on August 21?BUY0.5$536.00
08-12 13:14Solana Up or Down on August 14?BUY0.5$683.00
05-04 13:40Blues vs. JetsBUY0.6$250.00
05-01 13:20Stars vs. AvalancheBUY0.6299999999$178.00