vikbara
0xe150d954b16e451e6d287e465ec5d03269d6b65e
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $168.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar34.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nico Estévez win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? · No | 0.990 | 0.987 | $49.45 | −$0.18 |
| Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No | 0.975 | 0.951 | $47.17 | −$1.19 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · No | 0.967 | 0.925 | $45.51 | −$2.07 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.866 | $21.20 | −$2.78 |
| Tim Walz in jail by December 31? · No | 0.972 | 0.997 | $5.24 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$697.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on August 14?
- +$536.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on August 21?
- +$166.67at 0.600Blues vs. Jets
- +$104.54at 0.630Stars vs. Avalanche
- +$1.82at 0.962Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 13:21 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $20.66 |
| 08-19 12:15 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 21? | BUY | 0.5 | $536.00 |
| 08-12 13:14 | Solana Up or Down on August 14? | BUY | 0.5 | $683.00 |
| 05-04 13:40 | Blues vs. Jets | BUY | 0.6 | $250.00 |
| 05-01 13:20 | Stars vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.6299999999 | $178.00 |