PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ApollowVL

0xe1283710ca27671fcd4f80f7109c2ad1bfa5ccb4

Realised P&L
$-663.16
Volume
$95.2k
Markets traded
550
Open portfolio
$26.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded550
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1400.090$10.93$6.07
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1420.080$5.65$4.35
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0900.025$2.72$7.28
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.055$2.41$4.59
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.042$2.18$7.82
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2200.080$1.45$2.55
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.0600.011$0.96$4.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$13.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Up0.0020.000$0.00$2.00
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 14:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.02$1.00
08-24 14:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
08-24 14:04Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETSELL0.0830003$2.77
08-24 14:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
08-24 11:27Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
08-24 11:26Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.14667987$10.00
08-24 11:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSELL0.51$7.28
08-24 11:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00
08-24 11:17Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETSELL0.57$5.18
08-24 11:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.1099999032$1.00
08-24 11:13Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$3.06
08-24 07:44Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.0649999943$10.00
08-24 07:43Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.2231110124$10.05
08-21 17:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
08-21 12:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.01$1.00