PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe11Cea12dB31E57EF0beedDd911D321de44Df800-1774432784699

0xe11cea12db31e57ef0beeddd911d321de44df800

Realised P&L
$-49.70
Volume
$21.4k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$743.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.8800.951$162.02+$12.02
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-23? · Yes0.5500.545$136.24$1.25
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.955$104.94+$4.95
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8400.875$104.17+$4.17
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2600.235$90.38$9.62
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3700.265$85.12$33.72
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6700.405$60.45$39.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 04:52Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-23?BUY0.55$137.49
09-20 23:58Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.984$544.60
09-18 22:03Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.8299999993$200.00
08-29 09:34Ebola pandemic in 2026?SELL0.0361170586$61.74
08-22 05:15Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.8799999995$150.00
08-21 08:36Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.0349010805$40.12
08-17 00:04Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.839999999$100.00
08-17 00:03Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2599999985$100.00
08-17 00:00Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6699999993$100.00
07-28 10:14Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$100.00
07-07 00:18Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.185$537.18
07-06 23:26Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.184$513.33
06-21 05:402026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.3699999983$118.84
06-21 05:39Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?SELL0.98$116.15
06-11 22:11Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1699999999$967.90