lug
0xe0dbdb7f005f233f4510e4ef7e53a2f76a8df44e
- Realised P&L
- $84.7k
- Volume
- $23.88M
- Markets traded
- 4,355
- Open portfolio
- $120.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,355
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.9kat 0.357Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$35.5kat 0.219Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$30.2kat 0.271Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$17.8kat 0.110Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5
- +$15.7kat 0.196Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 14:58 | Spread: Kentucky (-20.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $1.6k |
| 09-25 14:56 | Spread: Vikings (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $3.4k |
| 09-25 14:50 | Jets vs. Lions | BUY | 0.28 | $3.1k |
| 09-24 05:42 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $36.54 |
| 09-24 05:42 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $128.53 |
| 09-23 13:55 | Game Handicap: SC (-1.5) vs Pyramid IV Esports (+1.5) | BUY | 0.72 | $359.99 |
| 09-22 18:06 | Game Handicap: AP (-1.5) vs Pyramid IV Esports (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5697297297 | $105.40 |
| 09-22 18:05 | Game Handicap: AP (-1.5) vs Pyramid IV Esports (+1.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-20 15:55 | Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $2.9k |
| 09-20 15:54 | Dolphins vs. 49ers: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $2.8k |
| 09-20 15:48 | Spread: Eagles (-6.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $2.9k |
| 09-20 15:46 | Jaguars vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.43 | $3.0k |
| 09-20 15:45 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.61 | $3.0k |
| 09-20 15:41 | Panthers vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.57 | $2.8k |
| 09-20 14:27 | Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $268.03 |