latvia
0xe0d601da0e6f765b04912dfaf17d3beaa4308d7a
- Realised P&L
- $-831.34
- Volume
- $18.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $130.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.055 | $78.36 | −$121.63 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.017 | $35.25 | −$178.75 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.255 | $16.83 | +$8.83 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? · No | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$553.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.38at 0.067NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.33at 0.760Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$-0.35at 0.033Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?
- +$-10.19at 0.080Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 15:42 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0310945971 | $50.00 |
| 03-25 12:46 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0529999991 | $51.00 |
| 03-08 13:47 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.061968034 | $50.00 |
| 03-08 13:46 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1402829169 | $104.38 |
| 03-06 21:17 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0519999991 | $51.00 |
| 02-27 14:09 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.047921333 | $51.00 |
| 02-14 07:29 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0671978356 | $50.00 |
| 02-14 07:26 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1212121212 | $8.00 |
| 02-09 18:44 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.1227086414 | $10.00 |
| 02-09 18:43 | Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? | SELL | 0.0317543259 | $9.65 |
| 02-06 20:38 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 02-06 20:38 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 02-05 07:49 | Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? | BUY | 0.0328966717 | $10.00 |
| 02-01 08:11 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 01-30 04:52 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.136511847 | $50.00 |