LaN-
0xe025784e7174cbe1d11687a061018ab806f864b9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.19
- Volume
- $934.98
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $44.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.80at 0.424Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
- +$1.02at 0.441Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$0.60at 0.560US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$0.20at 0.220AI bubble burst in 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.280Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:00 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.502 | $10.04 |
| 06-04 16:00 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.96 |
| 06-04 13:00 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $0.02 |
| 06-03 05:00 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 06-02 11:00 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $0.05 |
| 05-23 08:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 17:01 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | SELL | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 05-19 04:00 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 06:00 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | SELL | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 05-04 07:54 | Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |