PolyBot

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Traders

amehn

0xdfe260f62f5ac55f60cd9eda32202877e797cfc5

Realised P&L
$8.73
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$115.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 08:15Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$15.68
09-07 03:59Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.997$16.34
08-27 23:45Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
07-20 20:35Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
07-20 14:14Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.6099999994$10.00
07-17 22:09Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.179999987$10.00
07-17 22:08Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.0611353657$10.00
06-30 01:21Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.7599999847$9.94
06-30 01:21Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7199999856$10.00
06-23 04:36Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
06-22 00:05Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.699999993$10.00
06-17 01:26Will France win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.8799999965$10.00
06-15 22:46Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
06-15 22:42Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
06-15 16:21Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSELL0.74$5.60