56kljh
0xdf62c81b86e27b4dddc7dc719dae1f2b4f1c2904
- Realised P&L
- $-903.37
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $63.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.502 | $29.14 | +$1.30 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.845 | $15.21 | +$2.25 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.550 | 0.555 | $11.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.616 | 0.957 | $7.66 | +$2.73 |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.72 |
| Magic vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$915.00 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Hawks vs. Kings · Kings | 0.394 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Stars vs. Senators · Senators | 0.519 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.44 |
| Panthers vs. Canadiens · Panthers | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.95 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$902.85 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.28 |
| Jets vs. Canucks · Canucks | 0.429 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.500Kings vs. Canadiens
- +$719.51at 0.410Capitals vs. Hurricanes
- +$547.02at 0.350Cavaliers vs. Heat
- +$483.90at 0.700Grizzlies vs. Celtics
- +$193.31at 0.680Ducks vs. Avalanche
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 08:33 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 09-23 11:04 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 10:19 | Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.63 | $9.44 |
| 08-29 10:06 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.38 | $4.94 |
| 07-25 08:07 | Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.6699999933 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 10:49 | Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.57 | $11.97 |
| 07-01 10:49 | Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 07-01 10:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.42 | $6.30 |
| 06-21 09:15 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.55 | $23.10 |
| 06-21 09:14 | Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.51 | $22.95 |
| 06-21 09:13 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $12.96 |
| 06-17 11:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.49 | $7.35 |
| 05-23 08:54 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.616 | $4.93 |
| 05-23 08:50 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.47 | $11.28 |
| 05-23 08:50 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.56 | $6.72 |