PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

56kljh

0xdf62c81b86e27b4dddc7dc719dae1f2b4f1c2904

Realised P&L
$-903.37
Volume
$16.6k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$63.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4800.502$29.14+$1.30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7200.845$15.21+$2.25
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers0.5500.555$11.10+$0.10
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.6160.957$7.66+$2.73
Knicks vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers0.5600.000$0.00−$6.72
Magic vs. Knicks · Knicks0.6100.000$0.00−$915.00
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants0.4300.000$0.00−$5.00
Hawks vs. Kings · Kings0.3940.000$0.00−$500.00
Stars vs. Senators · Senators0.5190.000$0.00−$1.6k
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies0.6300.000$0.00−$9.44
Panthers vs. Canadiens · Panthers0.6400.000$0.00−$12.00
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees0.5100.000$0.00−$22.95
Warriors vs. Spurs · Spurs0.6500.000$0.00−$902.85
Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder0.4700.000$0.00−$11.28
Jets vs. Canucks · Canucks0.4290.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 08:33San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.55$11.00
09-23 11:04Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.4299999991$5.00
09-10 10:19Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.63$9.44
08-29 10:06Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.38$4.94
07-25 08:07Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.6699999933$3.00
07-01 10:49Detroit Tigers vs. New York YankeesBUY0.57$11.97
07-01 10:49Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.45$11.25
07-01 10:47Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.42$6.30
06-21 09:15Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.55$23.10
06-21 09:14Cincinnati Reds vs. New York YankeesBUY0.51$22.95
06-21 09:13Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.72$12.96
06-17 11:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.49$7.35
05-23 08:54Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.616$4.93
05-23 08:50Thunder vs. SpursBUY0.47$11.28
05-23 08:50Knicks vs. CavaliersBUY0.56$6.72