PolyBot

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Traders

JuliusNakamoto

0xdf5e4fa5be349b674874b42cfb538ac6e2534168

Realised P&L
$23.6k
Volume
$3.01M
Markets traded
537
Open portfolio
$7.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded537
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 18:58Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0370793564$19.61
09-20 17:41Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?BUY0.218852412$76.26
09-18 10:05Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?BUY0.81$567.00
09-11 07:12Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?BUY0.79$474.72
07-03 06:31Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.005$20.00
06-28 15:17Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?BUY0.0312840075$16.02
06-28 13:02Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?BUY0.05$33.60
06-28 13:00Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?BUY0.0266667509$15.82
05-18 22:23Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$37.16
05-14 14:48Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?BUY0.15$135.29
05-12 16:28AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?BUY0.8$409.60
05-07 18:25Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.906$1.8k
04-28 17:12Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.905$905.00
04-20 14:39AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?BUY0.8669219149$1.5k
04-16 08:18Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?BUY0.2818977879$184.01