DontBeScared5
0xdf3b18f3fbf325cceaa9557c7afc79742064880a
- Realised P&L
- $677.43
- Volume
- $57.8k
- Markets traded
- 3,426
- Open portfolio
- $151.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,426
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$645.72at 0.246Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
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- +$52.11at 0.365Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
- +$47.40at 0.585Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
- +$47.26at 0.631Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 02:39 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 02:39 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 02:35 | Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 02:35 | Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.699999755 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 02:24 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4399999795 | $6.00 |
| 08-03 01:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999737 | $21.90 |
| 08-03 01:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7251655601 | $22.50 |
| 08-03 01:15 | BNB Up or Down - August 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999295 | $2.48 |
| 08-03 01:15 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.49 |
| 08-03 01:05 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $7.65 |
| 08-03 01:00 | BNB Up or Down - August 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-03 01:00 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-03 00:56 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |