DontBeScared5
0xdf3b18f3fbf325cceaa9557c7afc79742064880a
- Realised P&L
- $797.95
- Volume
- $91.8k
- Markets traded
- 4,644
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,644
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$636.86at 0.255Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
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- +$90.50at 0.084Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$74.84at 0.409LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:04 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.63 | $2.90 |
| 09-16 20:58 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999961 | $1.30 |
| 09-16 20:30 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.88 |
| 09-16 20:29 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.88 |
| 09-16 20:29 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.88 |
| 09-16 20:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.469999874 | $1.38 |
| 09-16 20:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999151 | $1.62 |
| 09-16 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.05 |
| 09-16 18:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799998776 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 18:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.02 |
| 09-16 15:46 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.22 |
| 09-16 13:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3699999897 | $1.08 |
| 09-16 12:27 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.4599998932 | $1.55 |
| 09-16 12:09 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 10:44 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.55 |