BMM-1
0xdf1c2e388bde2fbacabaf85c75a6b69cc35e2ebb
- Realised P&L
- $38.4k
- Volume
- $842.8k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $117.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.2kat 0.502Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
- +$5.5kat 0.725SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
- +$4.0kat 0.874Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$3.2kat 0.680Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$2.1kat 0.165Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 11:58 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.475T by October 31? | BUY | 0.8879999985 | $44.00 |
| 10-30 18:17 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.475T by October 31? | BUY | 0.9608108274 | $138.00 |
| 10-30 18:17 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.725T by October 31? | BUY | 0.9931186217 | $260.00 |
| 10-30 18:16 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by October 31? | BUY | 0.9700008616 | $340.00 |
| 10-22 16:56 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.959 | $575.40 |
| 10-19 19:49 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.9549904501 | $1000.00 |
| 10-16 16:27 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $3.6k |
| 10-16 16:24 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.2k |
| 10-16 16:23 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.0k |
| 10-16 16:21 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.5k |
| 09-30 17:29 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $342.24 |
| 09-30 17:28 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 09-30 17:25 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.7k |
| 09-30 17:25 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.3k |
| 08-28 10:48 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.4238820329 | $17.6k |