BMM-1
0xdf1c2e388bde2fbacabaf85c75a6b69cc35e2ebb
- Realised P&L
- $11.2k
- Volume
- $645.9k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $69.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.195 | $29.2k | −$4.1k |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No | 0.423 | 0.456 | $19.7k | +$1.4k |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.565 | 0.455 | $14.2k | −$3.4k |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.065 | $6.5k | −$8.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.2kat 0.502Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
- +$5.5kat 0.725SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
- +$3.2kat 0.680Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.870Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.891Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 10:48 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.4238820329 | $17.6k |
| 08-26 15:41 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.396 | $685.01 |
| 08-23 17:47 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.55713166 | $5.6k |
| 08-21 19:35 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.982 | $9.8k |
| 07-26 19:08 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $290.00 |
| 07-08 18:10 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $528.11 |
| 06-30 22:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.6k |
| 06-29 21:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9935479723 | $2.7k |
| 06-20 12:34 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.2k |
| 06-19 20:15 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.53 | $962.48 |
| 06-19 20:10 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.5066387658 | $4.8k |
| 06-19 20:09 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.2457355286 | $1.5k |
| 06-18 12:06 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.4069643383 | $940.33 |
| 06-18 12:06 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.2974510927 | $171.91 |
| 06-18 11:59 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $1.4k |