PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BMM-1

0xdf1c2e388bde2fbacabaf85c75a6b69cc35e2ebb

Realised P&L
$11.2k
Volume
$645.9k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$69.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.2220.195$29.2k$4.1k
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.4230.456$19.7k+$1.4k
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5650.455$14.2k$3.4k
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1500.065$6.5k$8.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 10:48Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.4238820329$17.6k
08-26 15:41Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.396$685.01
08-23 17:47Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.55713166$5.6k
08-21 19:35Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.982$9.8k
07-26 19:08Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.996$290.00
07-08 18:10Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.78$528.11
06-30 22:42Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.91$9.6k
06-29 21:01Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.9935479723$2.7k
06-20 12:34Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.91$18.2k
06-19 20:15Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.53$962.48
06-19 20:10Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.5066387658$4.8k
06-19 20:09Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.2457355286$1.5k
06-18 12:06Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.4069643383$940.33
06-18 12:06Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.2974510927$171.91
06-18 11:59Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?BUY0.965$1.4k