Bet974
0xdeee99b0fae81fe5e149fca1a026b9da84c0cb75
- Realised P&L
- $-47.24
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $58.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.61at 0.563SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
- +$13.50at 0.120Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
- +$11.50at 0.080SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
- +$9.68at 0.510Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?
- +$7.68at 0.524Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 09:55 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0609999494 | $1.11 |
| 06-15 09:55 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1099999644 | $2.50 |
| 06-15 09:55 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 06-15 09:54 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.099730688 | $25.00 |
| 06-15 09:53 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0344827586 | $4.00 |
| 06-15 09:48 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 04-01 17:24 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999816 | $5.38 |
| 04-01 17:23 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | SELL | 0.0144758192 | $5.38 |
| 02-03 16:54 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY | 0.6585324425 | $14.50 |
| 02-03 16:53 | Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 02-03 16:53 | Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | BUY | 0.0252426942 | $1.00 |
| 02-03 16:52 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | SELL | 0.66 | $16.50 |
| 01-07 16:17 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07? | BUY | 0.6599999941 | $18.00 |
| 01-07 16:17 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.00 |
| 01-07 16:16 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0126829144 | $1.00 |