PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdd8493EdeC17070f15d618E0854D8065E1F7Cc2E-1772602834257

0xdd8493edec17070f15d618e0854d8065e1f7cc2e

Realised P&L
$22.90
Volume
$361.17
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$35.64

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.7400.942$1.27+$0.27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8100.895$1.10+$0.10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8100.895$1.10+$0.10
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.9000.991$1.10+$0.10
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? · Yes0.8400.921$1.10+$0.10
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.8620.930$1.08+$0.08
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.982$1.08+$0.08
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · Yes0.8300.893$1.08+$0.08
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8900.945$1.06+$0.06
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.9330.990$1.06+$0.06
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? · No0.8900.942$1.06+$0.06
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9380.985$1.05+$0.05
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9530.997$1.05+$0.05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9000.935$1.04+$0.04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.955$1.04+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 03:58Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.8099996274$1.00
07-03 03:58Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.859999914$1.00
07-03 03:58Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.9649999952$1.00
07-03 03:58Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.962$1.00
07-03 03:57Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
07-03 03:57Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
07-03 03:57Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.33999983$1.00
07-03 03:57Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.859999914$1.00
07-02 02:08Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?BUY0.29999982$1.00
07-02 02:08Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
07-02 02:08Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
07-02 02:04Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.744999553$1.00
07-02 02:04Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.63$1.00
07-02 02:04Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
07-02 02:03Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.7899999921$1.00