PolyBot

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Traders

twe2nty

0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a

Realised P&L
$-13.2k
Volume
$5.73M
Markets traded
392
Open portfolio
$367.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded392
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.817$122.5k+$47.5k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.183$27.5k−$47.5k
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.7030.735$22.1k+$950.02
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.7100.715$14.3k+$100.00
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7500.695$10.4k−$825.00
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.7300.785$7.8k+$550.00
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.6040.962$7.8k+$2.9k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8190.977$7.5k+$1.2k
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7500.735$7.3k−$150.00
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No0.7500.725$7.3k−$250.00
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7400.725$7.3k−$150.00
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.7500.715$7.2k−$350.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8380.968$5.3k+$707.58
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.7000.725$5.0k+$172.48
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9900.983$4.9k−$37.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 05:06Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?BUY0.38$433.20
11-01 21:23Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.48$2.4k
11-01 20:59Blue wave in 2026?BUY0.92$4.6k
11-01 20:55Blue tsunami in 2026?BUY0.67$322.07
11-01 20:51Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2417948194$105.29
11-01 20:39Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.75$2.1k
11-01 20:35Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.51$1.7k
11-01 20:32Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?BUY0.37$1.4k
11-01 20:31Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?BUY0.41$225.50
11-01 20:30Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.9898636014$3.6k
11-01 20:29Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?BUY0.86$4.3k
11-01 20:29Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?BUY0.93$2.9k
11-01 20:28Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.81$4.1k
11-01 20:25Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?BUY0.71$385.29
11-01 20:24Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?BUY0.65$74.28