PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

twe2nty

0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a

Realised P&L
$-8.3k
Volume
$5.76M
Markets traded
359
Open portfolio
$380.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded359
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$233.8k+$83.8k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$66.2k$83.8k
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6350.765$15.3k+$2.6k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8190.972$7.5k+$1.2k
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.6040.830$6.7k+$1.8k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8380.945$5.2k+$584.38
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.8830.911$4.3k+$135.14
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.7600.935$4.0k+$754.83
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? · No0.3930.560$3.4k+$1.0k
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.3860.251$2.6k$1.4k
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.3610.992$2.5k+$1.6k
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9500.959$2.3k+$21.96
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6620.690$2.2k+$91.85
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7600.945$2.0k+$394.89
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8120.970$1.8k+$293.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 04:21Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0110692462$8.87
09-08 21:40Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0767816092$8.35
09-08 21:38Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027?SELL0.028976963$7.76
09-08 21:35Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027?SELL0.0990764647$15.96
09-07 10:25Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.23$98.90
09-07 10:24Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1248614111$100.59
09-07 10:21Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8209061875$2.4k
09-01 17:58Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1130373832$48.38
08-25 07:04Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.29$53.69
08-23 08:34Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$13.67
08-23 08:32Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?BUY0.37$33.60
08-23 08:30Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.87$948.13
08-22 17:56Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.5298107709$139.99
08-22 16:19Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.0382166807$202.86
08-22 16:07Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1471428571$15.45