twe2nty
0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a
- Realised P&L
- $-8.3k
- Volume
- $5.76M
- Markets traded
- 359
- Open portfolio
- $380.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded359
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.8kat 0.524Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$8.6kat 0.660Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$8.2kat 0.902US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$7.3kat 0.249Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$6.4kat 0.977Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 04:21 | Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0110692462 | $8.87 |
| 09-08 21:40 | Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0767816092 | $8.35 |
| 09-08 21:38 | Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.028976963 | $7.76 |
| 09-08 21:35 | Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.0990764647 | $15.96 |
| 09-07 10:25 | Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $98.90 |
| 09-07 10:24 | Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1248614111 | $100.59 |
| 09-07 10:21 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8209061875 | $2.4k |
| 09-01 17:58 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1130373832 | $48.38 |
| 08-25 07:04 | Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $53.69 |
| 08-23 08:34 | Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $13.67 |
| 08-23 08:32 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.37 | $33.60 |
| 08-23 08:30 | Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $948.13 |
| 08-22 17:56 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.5298107709 | $139.99 |
| 08-22 16:19 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0382166807 | $202.86 |
| 08-22 16:07 | Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1471428571 | $15.45 |