twe2nty
0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a
- Realised P&L
- $-11.2k
- Volume
- $5.64M
- Markets traded
- 334
- Open portfolio
- $376.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded334
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.8kat 0.525Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$8.6kat 0.660Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$8.2kat 0.902US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$7.3kat 0.249Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$6.4kat 0.977Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:36 | Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8982875901 | $166.92 |
| 08-02 13:15 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | SELL | 0.99 | $224.25 |
| 08-02 13:13 | Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.92 | $56.12 |
| 08-02 13:13 | Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.91 | $177.78 |
| 08-02 13:12 | Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8848635634 | $16.54 |
| 08-02 13:12 | Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.899105215 | $2.8k |
| 08-02 13:11 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.2441980756 | $39.85 |
| 08-02 11:20 | Will Tori launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5723684211 | $54.38 |
| 08-02 11:19 | Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $153.31 |
| 08-02 11:13 | Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 11:12 | Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1082646336 | $52.40 |
| 08-02 11:11 | Will Monster launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8318154664 | $303.55 |
| 08-02 11:03 | Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $79.54 |
| 08-02 11:02 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.2487160282 | $11.62 |
| 08-02 10:57 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.70 |