almondlover9
0xdd45e705ee2c41bd1d81da5bcb8ed0e8b30259b2
- Realised P&L
- $-18.1k
- Volume
- $3.02M
- Markets traded
- 6,981
- Open portfolio
- $885.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,981
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.074Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 28?
- +$2.4kat 0.641Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
- +$1.8kat 0.002Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
- +$1.5kat 0.002Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$1.3kat 0.027Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 09:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.94 |
| 04-22 17:24 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $419.75 |
| 04-22 13:13 | Madrid Open: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Alexandra Eala | BUY | 0.999 | $12.96 |
| 04-20 13:24 | Set Handicap: Gojo (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $265.22 |
| 04-20 13:24 | Set Handicap: Ruiz (-1.5) vs Vukic (+1.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $274.51 |
| 04-19 23:53 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.436 | $30.15 |
| 04-19 21:09 | Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $12.39 |
| 04-19 21:09 | Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $15.58 |
| 04-19 20:42 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $52.64 |
| 04-19 19:00 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $62.33 |
| 04-19 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or higher on April 21? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.49 |
| 04-18 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 18? | BUY | 0.681 | $8.31 |
| 04-18 16:10 | Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $8.39 |
| 04-17 13:11 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $182.72 |
| 04-17 13:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $92.24 |