0xDcfE3968345d3420ad63D6410a96C8C3aA31B7d3-1778156552428
0xdcfe3968345d3420ad63d6410a96c8c3aa31b7d3
- Realised P&L
- $12.73
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $879.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.91at 0.763Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?
- +$11.77at 0.910Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$6.21at 0.914Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- +$-1.25at 0.810US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
- +$-1.63at 0.462Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 13:51 | Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0061330259 | $0.52 |
| 10-08 13:50 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 12:03 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.10 |
| 10-08 12:01 | Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.23 |
| 10-08 11:59 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.44 |
| 10-08 11:58 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:55 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:46 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:45 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:37 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $6.78 |
| 10-08 11:16 | Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:15 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:07 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0061645006 | $0.33 |
| 10-08 11:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.28 |