0xdcc8a795e4a02c6c5d21cb95913c1749f1d33b33
0xdcc8a795e4a02c6c5d21cb95913c1749f1d33b33
- Realised P&L
- $12.51
- Volume
- $321.92
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $8.48
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No | 0.280 | 0.580 | $2.07 | +$1.07 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.935 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.795 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.210 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.540 | 0.535 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.230 | $0.74 | −$0.26 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.200 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.105 | $0.38 | −$0.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.35at 0.230Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:34 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:31 | Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 09:11 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 08:02 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 11:56 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 15:55 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 07:51 | Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 23:51 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 15:12 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 07:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 23:08 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:47 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 06:34 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 00:06 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 12:55 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |