0xdcc8a795e4a02c6c5d21cb95913c1749f1d33b33
- Realised P&L
- $7.60
- Volume
- $110.63
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $14.10
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.350 | 1.000 | $2.86 | +$1.86 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.410 | 0.930 | $2.27 | +$1.27 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.865 | $1.63 | +$0.63 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.915 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.720 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.845 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.328 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.640 | 0.760 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.725 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.006 | $0.02 | −$0.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will Trump say "Think About It" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:17 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:52 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:42 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:38 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:16 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:17 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:19 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:07 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:06 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:06 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:22 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:07 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 20:05 | Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 11:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |