PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdCc64D6690558Ba6bc69Aa5610206Ddbde3664b5-1768238737189

0xdcc64d6690558ba6bc69aa5610206ddbde3664b5

Realised P&L
$-45.82
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$126.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3590.440$42.80+$7.80
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · No0.5400.715$33.10+$8.10
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7200.778$27.03+$2.03
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? · Yes0.2450.295$6.02+$1.02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2720.154$5.68−$4.32
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1800.195$5.42+$0.42
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.135$3.75−$1.25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1700.022$1.32−$8.68
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2500.028$1.12−$8.88
Tucker Carlson federally charged? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.4260.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.5290.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 21:25Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999986$5.00
10-13 21:25Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?BUY0.2450980392$5.00
10-09 07:09Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.1786068629$6.00
10-09 07:09Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.4261476953$15.00
10-06 17:11Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1799999986$5.00
10-06 17:10Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4309999842$10.00
10-05 05:00Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.83$30.73
09-02 14:25Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3369999922$25.00
08-11 12:13Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
08-11 12:06Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.5399999935$25.00
05-15 09:46Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.5199999815$9.00
05-15 09:42Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.5289999715$7.00
03-24 10:34US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
03-16 20:31Tucker Carlson federally charged?BUY0.089999919$1.00
03-09 09:23Iran leadership change by April 30?BUY0.5099999786$10.00