0xdCc64D6690558Ba6bc69Aa5610206Ddbde3664b5-1768238737189
0xdcc64d6690558ba6bc69aa5610206ddbde3664b5
- Realised P&L
- $-45.82
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $126.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.26at 0.310US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$21.62at 0.390Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$20.24at 0.278Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$11.32at 0.570Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$7.39at 0.670US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 21:25 | Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 21:25 | Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.2450980392 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 07:09 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.1786068629 | $6.00 |
| 10-09 07:09 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.4261476953 | $15.00 |
| 10-06 17:11 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 17:10 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4309999842 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 05:00 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.83 | $30.73 |
| 09-02 14:25 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3369999922 | $25.00 |
| 08-11 12:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 12:06 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999935 | $25.00 |
| 05-15 09:46 | Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999815 | $9.00 |
| 05-15 09:42 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.5289999715 | $7.00 |
| 03-24 10:34 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 03-16 20:31 | Tucker Carlson federally charged? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 03-09 09:23 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |