PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xDc7698751c939F718326c7f8D6f61fEfc0aD6EDa-1769900330060

0xdc7698751c939f718326c7f8d6f61fefc0ad6eda

Realised P&L
$34.70
Volume
$128.7k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$37.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5000.855$25.65+$10.65
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.013$6.94+$1.94
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.036$3.65−$5.35
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? · Yes0.1000.026$1.30−$3.70
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$21.00
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$5.99
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$29.01
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$24.03
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$4.70
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$1.58
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$65.72
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 21:52Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.009$1.08
07-01 21:51Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008$1.20
07-01 21:29Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0225116514$12.26
07-01 08:59Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.019$2.72
07-01 08:55Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.02$3.40
06-28 01:38Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
06-28 00:53Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
06-28 00:40Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.011$1.10
06-28 00:39Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.028$5.60
06-27 17:09Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
06-27 17:08Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
06-27 17:08Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
06-27 17:08Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
06-27 17:01Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$1.00
06-27 17:00Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$5.00