0xDc7698751c939F718326c7f8D6f61fEfc0aD6EDa-1769900330060
0xdc7698751c939f718326c7f8d6f61fefc0ad6eda
- Realised P&L
- $34.70
- Volume
- $128.7k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $37.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.85at 0.123Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$5.32at 0.205Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
- +$4.40at 0.056Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$4.20at 0.070Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
- +$2.47at 0.001Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 21:52 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.08 |
| 07-01 21:51 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.20 |
| 07-01 21:29 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0225116514 | $12.26 |
| 07-01 08:59 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.019 | $2.72 |
| 07-01 08:55 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.40 |
| 06-28 01:38 | Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 00:53 | Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 00:40 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 06-28 00:39 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.028 | $5.60 |
| 06-27 17:09 | Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 17:08 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 17:08 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 17:08 | Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 17:01 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 17:00 | Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |