PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

camaleon1

0xdbff1654a9a1b90b04be1d94dbf66228a7461b78

Realised P&L
$-157.15
Volume
$38.6k
Markets traded
221
Open portfolio
$34.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded221
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.145$12.43+$0.43
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.105$9.00−$3.00
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.6700.295$4.40−$5.60
Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.2800.245$4.37−$0.63
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.4250.044$1.51−$12.94
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3600.049$1.35−$8.65
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4500.048$0.85−$7.15
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1400.018$0.64−$4.36
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00−$12.00
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3760.000$0.00−$15.00
Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5400.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 14:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
09-12 17:11CA Tucumán vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5BUY0.6499999783$6.00
09-12 17:11CA Tucumán vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5BUY0.3699999821$6.00
09-12 14:36Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5SELL0.999$14.69
09-11 19:47Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.6699999839$10.00
09-11 19:46Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.5199999809$12.00
09-11 19:45Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12?SELL0.47$11.75
09-09 19:35Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5SELL0.88$13.33
09-09 16:41Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.48$12.00
09-09 16:39Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5BUY0.6599999842$10.00
09-08 19:47SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.5$12.00
09-08 19:46FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5SELL0.23$4.68
09-08 19:44BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5SELL0.31$5.64
09-07 22:44BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5BUY0.6599999879$12.00
09-07 22:42Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5BUY0.6799999932$12.00