-Ciguli-
0xdbe1d397f88ee2382753c9f6c4819a176c6d608d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $1.18M
- Markets traded
- 4,667
- Open portfolio
- $8.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,667
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$265.10at 0.820Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 26?
- +$133.42at 0.968Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?
- +$99.21at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
- +$73.52at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$67.77at 0.920Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $417.58 |
| 08-04 11:54 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $273.73 |
| 08-04 11:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-04 11:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $421.70 |
| 08-04 09:29 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $132.96 |
| 08-04 09:20 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $148.16 |
| 08-04 08:54 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.43 |
| 08-04 07:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $241.17 |
| 08-04 07:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $134.62 |
| 08-04 05:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $269.84 |
| 08-04 04:53 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $526.22 |
| 08-04 03:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $640.34 |
| 08-04 03:25 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $244.75 |
| 08-04 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9980741604 | $342.38 |
| 08-04 01:26 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.57 |