PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

-Ciguli-

0xdbe1d397f88ee2382753c9f6c4819a176c6d608d

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$1.18M
Markets traded
4,667
Open portfolio
$8.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,667
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 4? · No0.9991.000$1.1k+$0.60
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 4? · No0.9990.997$887.00$2.23
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 4? · No0.9991.000$813.84+$0.41
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 4? · No0.9991.000$526.49+$0.26
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 4? · No0.9990.999$518.48+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 4? · No0.9991.000$506.98+$0.25
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 4? · No0.9991.000$481.79+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 4? · No0.9991.000$451.53+$0.23
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 4? · No0.9991.000$425.55+$0.21
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 4? · No0.9991.000$413.41+$0.21
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 4? · No0.9991.000$376.58+$0.19
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 4? · No0.9990.999$375.78+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 4? · No0.9981.000$342.87+$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 4? · No0.9991.000$298.49+$0.15
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 4? · No0.9991.000$269.97+$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 11:54Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 4?BUY0.999$417.58
08-04 11:54Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 4?BUY0.999$273.73
08-04 11:53Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 4?BUY0.999$49.95
08-04 11:53Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 4?BUY0.999$421.70
08-04 09:29Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 4?BUY0.999$132.96
08-04 09:20Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 4?BUY0.999$148.16
08-04 08:54Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 4?BUY0.999$200.43
08-04 07:59Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 4?BUY0.999$241.17
08-04 07:56Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 4?BUY0.999$134.62
08-04 05:58Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 4?BUY0.999$269.84
08-04 04:53Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 4?BUY0.999$526.22
08-04 03:29Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.999$640.34
08-04 03:25Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 4?BUY0.999$244.75
08-04 02:21Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.9980741604$342.38
08-04 01:26Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on August 4?BUY0.999$10.57