xacid
0xdbbf549329cbc1314aa8183159ae322feb4e3f74
- Realised P&L
- $-121.56
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $7.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.88at 0.760Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$9.52at 0.558Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?
- +$8.78at 0.556Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?
- +$7.54at 0.570Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?
- +$5.87at 0.630Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 11:58 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 11:58 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 11:58 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 11:57 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 11:57 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 11:56 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 11:56 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 08:03 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 08:03 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 08:02 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 08:01 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 08:01 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.9099992538 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 08:00 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 08:00 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:59 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |