PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xacid

0xdbbf549329cbc1314aa8183159ae322feb4e3f74

Realised P&L
$-121.56
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
248
Open portfolio
$7.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded248
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.8100.815$1.01+$0.01
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.6800.675$0.99−$0.01
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.8700.855$0.98−$0.02
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.7200.705$0.98−$0.02
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes0.6400.625$0.98−$0.02
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.9400.915$0.97−$0.03
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.7500.725$0.97−$0.03
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0900.026$0.29−$0.71
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2300.045$0.27−$1.11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$1.00
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$5.20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 11:58Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.64$1.00
09-28 11:58Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-28 11:58Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-28 11:57Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.8099999352$1.00
09-28 11:57Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.75$1.00
09-28 11:56Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
09-28 11:56Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-14 08:03Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.849999915$1.00
09-14 08:03Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.78$1.00
09-14 08:02Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.64$1.00
09-14 08:01Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-14 08:01Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.9099992538$1.00
09-14 08:00Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
09-14 08:00Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-14 07:59Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4899998383$1.00