macminibot
0xdb0f133c3d6639360aaeeaa61041cd523abd6906
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $116.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,319
- Open portfolio
- $562.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,319
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$328.49at 0.141Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$156.60at 0.100Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
- +$134.60at 0.229Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?
- +$120.34at 0.270Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley
- +$109.20at 0.321Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draper
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 11:00 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.95 |
| 08-19 08:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $9.75 |
| 08-19 08:24 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $49.68 |
| 08-19 03:17 | Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.98 |
| 08-18 21:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.24 |
| 08-18 07:25 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $9.75 |
| 08-17 22:43 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.51 | $49.98 |
| 08-17 21:42 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $8.37 |
| 08-17 19:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.71 | $9.94 |
| 08-17 17:52 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $22.79 |
| 08-17 17:52 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $4.24 |
| 08-17 13:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.34 |
| 08-17 09:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-17 00:22 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 08-16 13:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $8.96 |