RichardiJhonson
0xdae19c63dfe026d3435313b631f60d4f878c3835
- Realised P&L
- $137.73
- Volume
- $68.5k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $6.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.274 | 0.385 | $3.5k | +$1.0k |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.472 | 0.445 | $3.1k | −$187.53 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$347.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$173.21at 0.618LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner
- +$117.57at 0.096Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$87.98at 0.387LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In
- +$77.21at 0.607LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
- +$36.17at 0.457LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 13:56 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1842075367 | $31.62 |
| 08-31 13:54 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.153039944 | $150.80 |
| 06-20 21:00 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.071999999 | $62.11 |
| 06-20 20:59 | Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.021 | $66.28 |
| 06-20 17:03 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0719999993 | $87.43 |
| 06-19 15:57 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5 | $817.38 |
| 06-16 23:44 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5199999999 | $904.00 |
| 06-15 21:24 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1079999995 | $198.00 |
| 06-08 02:53 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 15:13 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.41 | $205.00 |
| 06-04 15:13 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.6005752581 | $208.80 |
| 06-04 15:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.41 | $303.40 |
| 05-31 01:19 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.4601122557 | $234.99 |
| 05-31 01:17 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9801980196 | $100.00 |
| 05-30 18:55 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |