PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xDaC73517933a40F55fd486c382b2a5dc065a9415-1719568476627

0xdac73517933a40f55fd486c382b2a5dc065a9415

Realised P&L
$-46.57
Volume
$292.68
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$40.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? · Yes0.7500.954$12.72+$2.72
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7400.555$11.25−$3.75
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.4900.365$9.35−$3.20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7100.645$7.27−$0.73
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4570.000$0.00−$11.34
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes0.3810.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 20:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.12$1.48
10-06 19:58Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4569999885$11.34
10-05 19:40Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.489999998$12.55
10-05 19:38Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?BUY0.75$10.00
09-26 18:18Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7399999734$15.00
09-26 18:17Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.6499999634$8.00
09-26 18:15Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?BUY0.2999999963$8.00
09-26 18:13Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.6949999618$8.00
09-26 18:12Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7099999769$8.00
12-19 10:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?SELL0.031$1.11
10-22 20:22Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?BUY0.3809999697$5.00
10-22 20:19Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?BUY0.3899999774$5.00
10-22 20:17Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
10-22 20:16Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?BUY0.64$5.00
10-22 20:14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.1399999787$5.00