0xDaC73517933a40F55fd486c382b2a5dc065a9415-1719568476627
0xdac73517933a40f55fd486c382b2a5dc065a9415
- Realised P&L
- $-46.57
- Volume
- $292.68
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $40.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.954 | $12.72 | +$2.72 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.555 | $11.25 | −$3.75 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.365 | $9.35 | −$3.20 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.710 | 0.645 | $7.27 | −$0.73 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.457 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.34 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes | 0.381 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.695Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
- +$-3.89at 0.140Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$-6.66at 0.661Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$-8.00at 0.300Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 20:16 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.48 |
| 10-06 19:58 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4569999885 | $11.34 |
| 10-05 19:40 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.489999998 | $12.55 |
| 10-05 19:38 | Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 18:18 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $15.00 |
| 09-26 18:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6499999634 | $8.00 |
| 09-26 18:15 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999963 | $8.00 |
| 09-26 18:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.6949999618 | $8.00 |
| 09-26 18:12 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7099999769 | $8.00 |
| 12-19 10:00 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.11 |
| 10-22 20:22 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.3809999697 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 20:19 | Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 20:17 | Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 20:16 | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 20:14 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |