PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sdeser83848

0xdac66da09031c114caa79b4ddf85ed967f9d2905

Realised P&L
$-90.46
Volume
$21.7k
Markets traded
128
Open portfolio
$15.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded128
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No0.8400.996$2.86+$0.45
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.960$2.66+$0.25
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.955$1.88+$0.15
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · No0.8900.920$1.81+$0.06
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.940$1.75+$0.11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.7300.825$1.67+$0.19
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · No0.7900.950$1.67+$0.28
Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026? · No0.9800.900$1.50−$0.13
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 29? · Up0.8700.000$0.00−$1.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 06:18Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?BUY0.98$1.63
09-17 12:22Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.9769999957$1.59
09-07 09:33Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999785$1.64
08-22 11:29SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8699998881$2.41
08-22 11:29Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by August 31?SELL0.1$0.19
08-12 11:35Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by August 31?BUY0.94$1.79
08-05 10:31Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7899996135$1.39
07-29 10:37S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 29?BUY0.8699999586$1.89
07-29 10:35Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.17$0.38
07-22 10:55Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?BUY0.8299999714$1.74
07-15 12:24Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.7299999605$1.48
07-15 12:21Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?SELL0.4727692308$0.92
07-08 10:50Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.8$1.78
06-30 15:34Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?BUY0.9099999847$1.78
06-23 14:57Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?BUY0.8899994965$1.75