Sdeser83848
0xdac66da09031c114caa79b4ddf85ed967f9d2905
- Realised P&L
- $-90.46
- Volume
- $21.7k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $15.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No | 0.840 | 0.996 | $2.86 | +$0.45 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.960 | $2.66 | +$0.25 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.955 | $1.88 | +$0.15 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · No | 0.890 | 0.920 | $1.81 | +$0.06 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.940 | $1.75 | +$0.11 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No | 0.730 | 0.825 | $1.67 | +$0.19 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.950 | $1.67 | +$0.28 |
| Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.900 | $1.50 | −$0.13 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 29? · Up | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.31at 0.880US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$4.77at 0.820Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones
- +$4.07at 0.998Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 25–May 2?
- +$2.08at 0.999Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?
- +$1.41at 0.998Sabres vs. Wild
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 06:18 | Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.63 |
| 09-17 12:22 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9769999957 | $1.59 |
| 09-07 09:33 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999785 | $1.64 |
| 08-22 11:29 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699998881 | $2.41 |
| 08-22 11:29 | Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by August 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.19 |
| 08-12 11:35 | Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by August 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.79 |
| 08-05 10:31 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899996135 | $1.39 |
| 07-29 10:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.8699999586 | $1.89 |
| 07-29 10:35 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.38 |
| 07-22 10:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July? | BUY | 0.8299999714 | $1.74 |
| 07-15 12:24 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.7299999605 | $1.48 |
| 07-15 12:21 | Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? | SELL | 0.4727692308 | $0.92 |
| 07-08 10:50 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.78 |
| 06-30 15:34 | Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999847 | $1.78 |
| 06-23 14:57 | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | BUY | 0.8899994965 | $1.75 |