MelissaJones6987
0xda7fb9acbe667f2046ee8e80b3a062a11d7dc93d
- Realised P&L
- $-132.25
- Volume
- $126.9k
- Markets traded
- 283
- Open portfolio
- $32.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded283
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.96at 0.690Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?
- +$87.90at 0.320No one announced as next James Bond?
- +$60.47at 0.470Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)
- +$49.19at 0.830Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$40.60at 0.595No one announced as next James Bond?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 12:39 | Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.68 | $9.52 |
| 04-21 11:02 | Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 02-08 19:46 | Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $8.03 |
| 02-08 16:22 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $63.48 |
| 02-08 16:21 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $37.26 |
| 01-11 18:07 | Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games? | SELL | 0.65 | $98.80 |
| 01-11 18:01 | Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games? | SELL | 0.66 | $254.10 |
| 01-11 17:59 | Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games? | SELL | 0.65 | $280.15 |
| 01-11 16:39 | Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games? | BUY | 0.64 | $619.52 |
| 01-11 15:58 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%? | SELL | 0.54 | $3.80 |
| 01-11 15:50 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%? | SELL | 0.54 | $101.52 |
| 01-11 15:48 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%? | SELL | 0.54 | $84.78 |
| 01-11 15:47 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%? | SELL | 0.54 | $23.22 |
| 01-11 15:31 | Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $137.83 |
| 01-11 15:06 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $77.38 |