PSA9
0xda758cfaaa6f0528a7276375367955e4e011e2f4
- Realised P&L
- $-7.75
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $14.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.175 | $10.11 | −$0.29 |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $1.20 | −$0.60 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.005 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.005 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.61at 0.361Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$4.69at 0.249Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
- +$1.00at 0.400Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$0.11at 0.500US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
- +$-0.12at 0.154Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:12 | Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0056361313 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:11 | Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:10 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.33 | $10.04 |
| 10-30 18:27 | Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.00225 | $1.80 |
| 10-30 18:26 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.21 |
| 10-30 18:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.067 | $0.58 |
| 10-30 17:55 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999997 | $11.68 |
| 10-30 17:54 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4 | $11.68 |
| 10-29 22:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1439999926 | $1.25 |
| 10-29 22:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.25 |
| 10-27 23:34 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4299999675 | $3.31 |
| 10-27 23:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.28 |
| 10-27 23:33 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.06 |
| 10-27 23:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.22 |
| 10-27 23:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4199999751 | $6.74 |