0xda3b8fba3287e243f4e9e3c07bcca560afdf8b8b
- Realised P&L
- $-19.14
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $29.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.08at 0.019Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.030Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
- +$0.00at 0.030Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
- +$0.00at 0.010Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
- +$-0.07at 0.020Claude 4.7 released by March 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-13 20:51 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.79 |
| 03-13 20:51 | Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.214 | $3.30 |
| 03-13 15:05 | Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 03-13 15:05 | Claude 4.7 released by March 15? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.13 |
| 03-13 15:05 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 03-13 15:05 | Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 03-13 15:04 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | SELL | 0.033 | $1.32 |
| 03-13 15:04 | Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.95 |
| 03-13 15:04 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.68 |
| 03-13 04:44 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.60 |
| 03-13 04:44 | Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.78 |
| 03-13 04:44 | Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.91 |
| 03-13 04:44 | Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 03-13 04:44 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 03-13 04:44 | Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | BUY | 0.0194 | $0.29 |