PolyBot

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Traders

sixoneeight

0xd9f6fd07af2e7e4e2528190df7b58623efab4790

Realised P&L
$-221.23
Volume
$80.8k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$16.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0650.041$5.69$3.51
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.1340.095$3.55$1.45
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2500.065$2.60$7.40
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0560.024$2.51$3.48
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0690.064$0.92$0.08
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes0.4000.063$0.78$4.22
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6000.125$0.63$2.38
Government shutdown by October 1? · Yes0.1100.007$0.30$4.10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$5.00
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$2.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$6.00
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$3.00
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$3.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$3.68
Will the US strike Cuba next? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 04:10Government shutdown by October 1?BUY0.11$4.40
07-12 14:07Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.14$5.00
06-26 03:03Will United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.21$8.40
06-21 15:17Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.019$0.80
06-21 09:11Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.14$4.67
06-21 08:40Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
06-20 06:11Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0086297825$1.00
06-19 23:06Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.033$7.17
06-18 17:55Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.149999976$5.00
06-18 17:54Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0649999886$5.00
06-18 17:33Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.0899999736$3.00
06-18 10:50Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.014999997$5.00
06-18 10:49Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.062$5.45
06-18 05:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.195$26.24
06-18 05:13Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0229999954$5.00