sixoneeight
0xd9f6fd07af2e7e4e2528190df7b58623efab4790
- Realised P&L
- $-221.23
- Volume
- $80.8k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $16.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.18at 0.145Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$21.02at 0.092Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
- +$20.71at 0.420US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$15.18at 0.074Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$13.45at 0.480Super Bowl LIX Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 04:10 | Government shutdown by October 1? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.40 |
| 07-12 14:07 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 03:03 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.21 | $8.40 |
| 06-21 15:17 | Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.80 |
| 06-21 09:11 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.67 |
| 06-21 08:40 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 06:11 | Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0086297825 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 23:06 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.033 | $7.17 |
| 06-18 17:55 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 17:54 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0649999886 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 17:33 | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |
| 06-18 10:50 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.014999997 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 10:49 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.062 | $5.45 |
| 06-18 05:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.195 | $26.24 |
| 06-18 05:13 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0229999954 | $5.00 |