PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

RS666

0xd9b25d235675a218c8eb2c07584edb6524cdba2b

Realised P&L
$-24.06
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$118.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2210.095$34.40−$45.60
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No0.7380.895$32.98+$5.78
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.765$15.30+$0.70
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2930.290$11.01−$0.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6600.610$6.10−$0.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.135$5.40−$2.60
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.9200.935$4.67+$0.07
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.1000.035$3.45−$6.55
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.4700.075$2.25−$11.85
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.026$1.56−$8.44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.015$1.36−$8.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 18:03Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.5$5.00
10-01 17:30Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.66$6.60
09-21 20:20Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7299999007$5.00
09-20 16:11Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.9099999991$30.00
09-03 20:37Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$10.00
09-03 20:37Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.0349999669$1.00
08-01 08:26Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2314671902$50.00
08-01 08:26Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
07-30 19:08Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
07-30 18:55Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2394014891$20.00
07-30 16:37Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.1$10.00