RS666
0xd9b25d235675a218c8eb2c07584edb6524cdba2b
- Realised P&L
- $-24.06
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $118.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.221 | 0.095 | $34.40 | −$45.60 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.738 | 0.895 | $32.98 | +$5.78 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.765 | $15.30 | +$0.70 |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.293 | 0.290 | $11.01 | −$0.12 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.610 | $6.10 | −$0.50 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.135 | $5.40 | −$2.60 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.935 | $4.67 | +$0.07 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes | 0.100 | 0.035 | $3.45 | −$6.55 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.075 | $2.25 | −$11.85 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.026 | $1.56 | −$8.44 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.015 | $1.36 | −$8.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.07at 0.830Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$4.88at 0.512Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$0.64at 0.968Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?
- +$0.15at 0.037Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?
- +$-43.80at 0.313Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 18:03 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 17:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 09-21 20:20 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999007 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 16:11 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $30.00 |
| 09-03 20:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 20:37 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.0349999669 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 08:26 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2314671902 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 08:26 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 19:08 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 18:55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2394014891 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 16:37 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |